Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 68.586380 77.430078 86.501591 96.470184 107.085407 118.021772 130.111023
2025-05-18 54.988270 67.637525 81.227861 96.782499 113.966569 132.255019 153.076892
2025-05-25 46.265126 60.873245 77.132114 96.296605 118.013006 141.628123 169.026942
2025-06-01 40.071458 56.063376 74.429751 96.628068 122.313220 150.728677 184.185410
2025-06-08 34.356302 51.126644 70.988931 95.570138 124.561340 157.130300 195.973398
2025-06-15 30.852972 48.482929 69.925137 96.990074 129.409215 166.275426 210.686442
2025-06-22 27.947562 46.282563 69.147893 98.534407 134.225333 175.248228 225.096835
2025-06-29 24.392062 42.890417 66.614789 97.707249 136.028199 180.566724 235.171125
2025-07-06 20.724009 38.991804 63.154353 95.486675 135.947469 183.509482 242.344875
2025-07-13 19.695541 38.685162 64.289039 98.983534 142.794037 194.635878 259.097767
2025-07-20 18.256027 37.644598 64.349629 101.033671 147.805641 203.540700 273.219978
2025-07-27 16.124994 35.374720 62.602607 100.629843 149.675450 208.603610 282.741830
2025-08-03 14.005191 32.943221 60.523271 99.727828 150.902576 212.912626 291.431893
2025-08-10 12.575082 31.472125 59.697765 100.420313 154.106402 219.611103 302.987834
2025-08-17 10.949961 29.496495 58.020466 99.864862 155.636125 224.199348 311.960073
2025-08-24 9.727182 28.076174 57.060327 100.212803 158.277702 230.124818 322.530386
2025-08-31 8.292679 26.092251 55.134181 99.130412 158.984925 233.596092 330.077945
2025-09-07 7.563964 25.350779 55.048377 100.581418 162.991347 241.175891 342.645024
2025-09-14 6.925543 24.710194 55.073622 102.159045 167.148380 248.939938 355.444273
2025-09-21 5.881608 23.088797 53.452360 101.314068 168.031401 252.542329 363.100009
2025-09-28 4.716130 20.987963 50.919541 99.045330 166.924418 253.562421 367.517694
2025-10-05 4.607727 21.296779 52.371298 102.617829 173.722650 264.670016 384.472796
2025-10-12 4.277725 21.028787 52.830445 104.711800 178.509687 273.212329 398.251650